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Conservative Incumbent Scott Reid Secures Ninth Victory in Lanark—Frontenac

Despite national shifts, this Ontario riding reaffirms its long-standing Conservative support in the 2025 federal election.

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Highlights

  • Conservative Hold: Scott Reid was decisively re-elected as the Member of Parliament for Lanark—Frontenac in the April 28, 2025, Canadian federal election.
  • Veteran MP: This victory marks Reid's ninth consecutive win, solidifying his position as one of the longest-serving Conservative MPs, having represented the area since 2000.
  • Riding Boundaries Updated: The election was contested under new boundaries for Lanark—Frontenac, which no longer includes parts of Kingston north of Highway 401.

Understanding the 2025 Election Outcome in Lanark—Frontenac

The Canadian federal election held on April 28, 2025, saw varied results across the country. While the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, secured a victory nationally, the Ontario riding of Lanark—Frontenac demonstrated strong regional consistency by re-electing its long-time Conservative incumbent, Scott Reid. This outcome underscores the riding's status as a reliable Conservative stronghold in Eastern Ontario.

Detailed Election Results

Projections by Elections Canada on election night, April 28, 2025, indicated a clear win for Scott Reid. As of approximately 11 p.m. ET, with most polls reporting (260 out of 261), the results showed a significant lead for the Conservative candidate.

Vote Distribution (Based on Election Night Projections)

The following table summarizes the vote counts and percentages for the main candidates in Lanark—Frontenac based on the available projections from election night:

Candidate Party Votes (Projected) Percentage (Projected)
Scott Reid Conservative Party of Canada 6,947 56.4%
Michelle Foxton Liberal Party of Canada 4,754 38.6%
Danielle Rae New Democratic Party (NDP) 427 3.5%
Jesse Pauley Green Party of Canada 190 1.5%

Note: These figures represent projections based on early counts on election night and may differ slightly from the final certified results. Scott Reid defeated his nearest competitor, Liberal candidate Michelle Foxton, by a margin of 2,193 votes according to these projections.

Scott Reid: A Long-Serving Representative

Scott Reid's victory in 2025 is his ninth consecutive federal election win since first being elected in 2000, when he took the seat (then known under a different name) from a Liberal incumbent. This remarkable tenure makes him one of the most experienced and longest-serving Members of Parliament within the Conservative caucus. His consistent success reflects deep roots in the community and alignment with the predominantly rural and conservative-leaning values of the riding's constituents.


Profile of the Lanark—Frontenac Riding

Lanark—Frontenac is a federal electoral district located in Eastern Ontario. Its geography underwent changes prior to the 2025 election following the 2021 census and subsequent electoral boundary redistribution.

Geography and Boundary Adjustments

Previously known as Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston, the riding's boundaries were adjusted, and it was renamed Lanark—Frontenac for the 2025 election. The most notable change was the removal of the area of the City of Kingston located north of Highway 401, which became part of the Kingston and the Islands riding. The updated Lanark—Frontenac riding stretches west from the Ottawa city limits towards Hastings County, encompassing a mix of rural landscapes, small towns, and communities, including Carleton Place, Perth, Smiths Falls, and Sharbot Lake. These changes reinforced the riding's predominantly rural and small-town character.

Map of the Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston electoral district

Map showing the electoral district boundaries (Note: reflects previous name Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston).

Historical Political Landscape

The riding, in its various forms, has demonstrated a strong preference for the Conservative Party (and its predecessors) for decades, particularly since 2000. Scott Reid's consistent re-election highlights the stable support for conservative policies and representation among the electorate, which includes significant agricultural interests and small business owners.


Factors Influencing the 2025 Outcome

Several factors likely contributed to Scott Reid's continued success in Lanark—Frontenac. The radar chart below provides a visual analysis of key elements assessed for their potential impact on the election outcome in this riding.

This assessment suggests that Scott Reid's strong name recognition, the alignment of his party's platform with the riding's conservative demographics, and the significant advantages of incumbency were primary drivers of his victory. While national trends favored the Liberals overall, they had less impact in this particular riding.


Election Dynamics Overview

The mindmap below illustrates the key components and outcomes of the 2025 federal election specifically within the Lanark—Frontenac riding.

mindmap root["2025 Federal Election
Lanark-Frontenac"] id1["Riding Profile"] id1a["Eastern Ontario"] id1b["Rural & Small Towns"] id1c["Boundary Change (Removed North Kingston)"] id1d["Historically Conservative"] id2["Key Candidates"] id2a["Scott Reid (Conservative)"] id2b["Michelle Foxton (Liberal)"] id2c["Danielle Rae (NDP)"] id2d["Jesse Pauley (Green)"] id3["Election Results (Projected)"] id3a["Winner: Scott Reid (Conservative)"] id3a1["Approx. 56.4% of vote"] id3a2["9th Consecutive Win"] id3b["Runner-up: Michelle Foxton (Liberal)"] id3b1["Approx. 38.6% of vote"] id3c["Other Candidates < 5%"] id4["Contributing Factors"] id4a["Incumbency & Experience"] id4b["Strong Conservative Base"] id4c["Local Issues Focus"] id4d["Candidate Familiarity"] id5["National Context"] id5a["Liberal Party Won Nationally"] id5b["Riding Bucked National Trend"]

This mindmap highlights the interplay between the riding's characteristics, the candidates involved, the decisive outcome favoring the incumbent, and the factors contributing to that result, all within the context of the broader national election.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Who won the election in Lanark—Frontenac in 2025?

Conservative candidate Scott Reid won the election in the Lanark—Frontenac riding during the Canadian federal election on April 28, 2025. Projections indicated he secured approximately 56.4% of the vote.

How long has Scott Reid been the MP for this area?

Scott Reid has represented this area continuously since the year 2000. The 2025 election marked his ninth consecutive victory, making him one of the longest-serving Conservative MPs.

What were the boundary changes for Lanark—Frontenac before the 2025 election?

The riding, formerly known as Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston, was renamed Lanark—Frontenac. The most significant boundary change involved removing the portion of the City of Kingston located north of Highway 401, which was moved into the Kingston and the Islands riding. This change primarily affected the eastern part of the riding.

How did the results in Lanark—Frontenac compare to the national election results?

The results in Lanark—Frontenac contrasted with the national trend. While the Liberal Party won the federal election nationally, Lanark—Frontenac remained a Conservative stronghold, re-electing Scott Reid by a significant margin. This highlights the regional variations in voting patterns across Canada.


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References


Last updated April 29, 2025

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